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Living with men was enough of a gamble.” ― Jennifer Crusie, “Another mistaken notion connected with the law of large numbers is the idea that an event is more or less likely to occur because it has or has not happened recently.
The idea that the odds of an event with a fixed probability increase or decrease depending on recent occurrences of the event is called the gambler's fallacy.
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And that message, however devoid of Christ-like other-cheekery, dooms the faint-hearted Scottys of the night, who must sludge along, never knowing how it feels to spill over with the small change of sassiness, how it feels to leave the spillover on the floor, more where that came from, pal.
But the high is always greater than the low.” ― Robert Black “Neely Thomas was used to losing. A winning streak so relentless it won't end until his lies are exposed and he's lost everything he loves.” ― Kendric Neal, “Crossing the line, that's what the Highway Patrol woman said. Lingering underneath that thought, though, was the other one. She'd follow through on her word, alright, even if she regretted it, even if she laid awake at night the rest of her life wishing she hadn't, even if IT KILLED HER, she'd still do it. the jouissance of gambling, it was pure, goddamned luck.
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For example, if Kerrich landed, say, 44 heads in the first 100 tosses, the coin would not develop a bias towards the tails in order to catch up!
That's what is at the root of such ideas as "her luck has run out" and "He is due." That does not happen.